Predicting Future Climate

NOTE: This blog will be updated 2-3 times a week and the other one as well. Please bookmark this page as I can’t get the domain to point to it directly. Thanks.

If you think about it, it’s very difficult to predict what temperatures on earth will be 80 years from now, no matter what your assumptions are. The uncertainties are huge. There simply can’t be any precision in predictions that far out. And, in fact, the UN climate assessment models continue to be revised downward, because the actual temperatures continue to not show what the models predicted 20 years ago. So the extreme climate predictions continue to come down, even as headlines continue to heat up. Here is a new peer-reviewed paper showing that the models don’t take clouds into account, and if you do take clouds into account there is no reason to believe that the climate will change much at all in response to increased CO2 in the upper troposphere.


It’s not easy to change your mind, but here is something to think about: If somehow a large number of credible scientists were to actually admit that close to 100 percent of observed and future climate change is not related to CO2 and that whatever happens we will have plenty of time to adapt to naturally very slowly rising sea levels and temperature, how would you react? Would you be happy or sad? I think a lot of climate activists would be very sad, because they are so engaged and their funding comes from raising the alarm. Honestly, would you be disappointed if it became a non-issue? If you would be disappointed, that’s a sign that you are not neutral, that you have a strong belief regardless of what the science shows, and that you strongly identify with others who are also fighting to save the planet from future climate destruction. If, on the other hand, you would breathe a huge sigh of relief, then you should come to and start your education.